The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (2024)

As conference realignments take shape, college football is reigniting old rivalries and forming new ones, making the 2024 season highly anticipated. Additionally, the 12-team playoff has swung the door open for new faces to have their shot at a title.

That said, here are five weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket come December.

All rankings are based on the preseason AP Top 25 Poll.

Honorable Mentions: Week 8 and Week 9

Week 8 (Oct. 19)

  • No. 1 Georgia at No. 4 Texas
  • No. 5 Alabama at No. 15 Tennessee
  • No. 18 Kansas State at West Virginia
  • No. 19 Miami (Fla.) at Louisville
  • Colorado at No. 21 Arizona

Featuring one of the premier matchups of the season, Week 8 is highlighted by the Bulldogs traveling out to Austin, Texas to take on the Longhorns for just the second time this century. Their last matchup in 2019 resulted in a 28-21 win for the Longhorns in the Sugar Bowl, featuring a memorable pregame scuffle between Bevo (Texas Longhorn mascot) and Uga (Georgia Bulldog mascot). As the top two-ranked SEC teams entering the season, this year's matchup will surely deliver similar drama and may shape bracket seeding later in the year.

Alabama will return to Knoxville for the first time since its 52-49 loss to Tennessee in 2022. This matchup will mark Kalen DeBoer's first true SEC road test with the Crimson Tide, either solidifying Alabama's top-tier status in the SEC or sparking a young Volunteer team for the remainder of the season.

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As for the rest of the week, Miami will go on the road to Louisville, hoping to redeem its 38-31 loss to the Cardinals in Hard Rock Stadium the year before. Kansas State will get a tough road test at the always rowdy Morgantown, and Colorado will look to prove it belongs in the revamped Big 12, taking on Arizona.

The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (1)

Week 9 (Oct. 26)

  • No. 11MissouriatNo. 5 Alabama
  • No. 16 Oklahoma at No. 6 Ole Miss
  • No. 10 Florida State atNo. 19 Miami (Fla.)
  • No. 13 LSU atNo. 20 Texas A&M
  • No. 22 Kansas at No. 18Kansas State

Week 9 may not deliver a premier matchup, but with five top 25 games slated, it certainly could be a turning point in late October. Preseason No. 11 Missouri gets the opportunity to take down the Crimson Tide for the first time since 1975 after receiving its highest preseason rank since 2008. The Sooners match up with Ole Miss for just the second time in history, potentially igniting a new rivalry, and the Aggies will look to defend their turf against LSU.

Miami will try to end its three-year losing streak to the Seminoles, while Kansas will fight to finally put a stop to its 15-game losing streak against in-state rival Kansas State following the Jayhawks' first preseason top 25 ranking since 2009.

The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (2)

5. Week 10 (Nov. 2)

  • No. 2 Ohio State at No. 8 Penn State
  • No. 3 Oregon at No. 9 Michigan
  • No. 1 Georgia vs. Florida (Jacksonville, Fla.)
  • No. 23 Southern Cal at Washington
  • Kentucky at No. 15 Tennessee

The new-look Big Ten shines in Week 10, with matchups between the four top-10 teams in the conference. The Buckeyes get a chance to extend their seven-game win streak over the Nittany Lions in what will likely be a classic turnout with the Penn State faithful. The Ducks will travel to The Big House for the first time since 2007, hoping to establish themselves as a top threat in their new conference.

The Bulldogs take on the Gators in a classic rivalry, as Georgia looks to extend its series win streak to four games. Tennessee will aim to separate itself from the bottom half of the SEC by taking care of the Wildcats in Knoxville, while Southern Cal will try to get back in the win column against the Huskies after dropping the previous two meetings.

The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (3)

4. Week 5 (Sept. 28)

  • No. 1 Georgia at No. 5 Alabama
  • No. 21 Arizona at No. 12 Utah
  • No. 17 Oklahoma State at No. 18 Kansas State
  • No. 16 Oklahoma at Auburn
  • Louisville at No. 7 Notre Dame

The last week in September may seem early on to rank in the top five, but when the Bulldogs and Crimson Tide face off in the regular season for just the third time since 2010, all eyes will be on Tuscaloosa. Can the Bulldogs finally shift the tide in the post-Saban era? Or will Alabama improve to 9-1 over Georgia in its last 10 matchups? Regardless, the result will almost certainly be decisive come seeding time.

NUMBERS:AP preseason poll broken down

Arizona takes on Utah in a Pac-12-turned-Big 12 matchup, and Oklahoma State will face off against the Wildcats in Kansas for the first time since its 48-0 blowout loss in 2022. Oklahoma will head to Jordan-Hare Stadium for just the second meeting all-time between the Sooners and Tigers, and the Irish will look to redeem their 33-20 loss to the Cardinals the previous season.

The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (4)

3. Week 11 (Nov. 9)

  • No. 5 Alabama atNo. 13 LSU
  • No. 1 Georgia atNo. 6 Ole Miss
  • No. 16 Oklahoma at No. 11 Missouri
  • No. 19 Miami (Fla.) at Georgia Tech
  • No. 10 Florida State at No. 7 Notre Dame

Arguably the biggest week for the SEC features LSU hosting Alabama in the annually anticipated matchup and the Bulldogs taking on a hungry Ole Miss squad in Oxford. The Rebels begin the 2024 season with their highest preseason rank since 1970, and if both teams enter undefeated, this meeting could be a determinant for the SEC championship. Week 11 marks the end of the Bulldogs' gauntlet run in which they play three of the preseason's top six teams on the road in a month and a half.

BIG GAMES:20 non-conference games to have on your radar heading into the 2024 season

Oklahoma and Missouri will rekindle their old Big 12 rivalry in the first matchup between the two schools since the Tigers' jump to the SEC in 2011. The Hurricanes will look to avenge their blunder against the Yellow Jackets last season where a decision to run the ball instead of taking a knee cost Miami its first loss of the 2023 campaign. Lastly, the Seminoles and Irish meet for the first time since the 41-38 thriller in 2021 when Florida State's fourth-quarter heroics were stunted by a Notre Dame field goal in overtime.

The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (5)

2. Week 7 (Oct. 12)

  • No. 2 Ohio State at No. 3 Oregon
  • No. 6 Ole Miss at No. 13 LSU
  • No. 8 Penn State at No. 23 Southern Cal
  • No. 4 Texas vs.No. 16 Oklahoma (in Dallas, Texas)
  • No. 18 Kansas State atColorado

Could this be the next big rivalry? Maybe the beginning of a conference matchup that will be anticipated each new season? Well, this is certainly the year to kick it off, as the Ducks and Buckeyes both crack the preseason top three. The Ducks may be new to the Big Ten, but every Oregon fan is familiar with Ohio State. In the inaugural College Football Playoff National Championship Game in the 2014 season, No. 2 Oregon squared off with No. 4 Ohio State, aiming to bring the Ducks their first national championship. However, Ezekiel Elliott's 246 yards and four touchdowns proved too much for the Marcus Mariota-led Ducks. This Week 7 matchup will be Oregon's chance to take down one of the Big Ten's long-standing alphas and could set the tone for years to come.

HEISMAN:Every Heisman winner and runner-up since 1935|Colleges with the most Heisman winners

In other Week 7 news, the Red River Rivalry should produce a classic as usual, and Ole Miss will look to start hot in its first ranked matchup of the season in Death Valley. Elsewhere, Penn State and Southern Cal will meet up in Los Angeles, while Sanders' crew may play its first ranked opponent of the season.

The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (6)

1. Week 14 (Nov. 30)

  • No. 9 Michigan at No. 2 Ohio State
  • No. 16 Oklahoma at No. 13 LSU
  • No. 4 Texas at No. 20 Texas A&M
  • Auburn at No. 5 Alabama
  • No. 7 Notre Dame at No. 23 Southern Cal

This one seems like a no-brainer — rivalry week. The last week of the regular season where each game matters more than ever. Playoff hopes will be saved or crushed, and when these teams face off anything can happen. Will the Buckeyes end their three-year skid to the Wolverines? Will the Iron Bowl leave spectators speechless once again? Could Oklahoma avenge its 2019 College Football Playoff loss to LSU? What will come of the Irish and Trojans' 94th all-time meeting?

These matchups are just a handful of what Week 14 provides, and by the time we reach late November, no one knows what the stakes will be.

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The top 5 weeks that could shape the College Football Playoff bracket (2024)

FAQs

What are the odds for Notre Dame to make the college football playoffs? ›

Notre Dame Odds to Make College Football Playoff

Oddsmakers are giving the Irish about a 63% chance to make the CFP. As noted above, given a favorable schedule that presents enough possible quality wins to bolster a postseason worthy resume, it's seen fairly likely that ND will be in the postseason.

How does the college football playoff seeding work? ›

Top four. The top four seeds and a first-round bye are only available to conference champions, no matter where they are ranked. For example, in 2022 Clemson and Utah would have earned byes as league champions even though they were ranked seventh and eighth, respectively, in the committee's final rankings.

What are the odds for the Michigan college football playoffs? ›

College Football Playoff odds
TeamDraftKingsFanDuel
Ole Miss-130-130
Alabama+100+100
LSU+120+125
Michigan+140+150 🔥
6 more rows

Who decides the college football playoffs? ›

The four entrants in the College Football Playoff are selected from among all FBS schools by a 13-member selection committee composed of former college administrators and coaches.

What is the average GPA of the Notre Dame football team? ›

This is not to take a shot at any of the above universities or their football programs, which are fine academic institutions, but it does exemplify how impressive have a collective 3.4 is for Notre Dame Football — a top-15 United States college according to the U.S. News & World Report.

What are the odds for Ohio State to make the CFP? ›

According to recent odds from FanDuel, Ohio State has the best odds to make the 12-team CFP at -650. Georgia, who remains the favorite to win the national championship (+280 to Ohio State's +400), has the second-best odds at -600.

What is reseeding in playoffs? ›

Playoff Reseeding. Done. If your league uses a three-week playoff setting, playoff reseeding will adjust the second round matchups so the highest seeded team will play the lowest ranked team. Playoff reseeding will occur when there is an upset in the first round of the playoffs.

How is playoff seeding determined? ›

The division champions are seeded in order of win percentages. The No. 1 seed in each conference not only earns the top spot but also home-field advantage up to the Super Bowl. The second seed would then go to whichever of the division champions has the next-best record.

How do seeds work in playoffs? ›

Once the seven teams are picked, they are each assigned a seed number based on their record and any required tiebreaking factors. The winningest team is the 1 seed, the team with the most losses is the 7 seed, and everyone else fills in accordingly.

Who is favored to win the national championship in 2024? ›

Georgia continues to hold steady as the favorite to win it all. Over the last month, the Bulldogs' national championship odds have shortened slightly to +280 from +300. But there's one team that's closing in on the Dawgs, and that's Oregon.

Who's predicted to win CFP? ›

Who is the CFP National Championship favorite? Georgia (+300) is the favorite for the 2025 college football championship. Those odds imply a 25% probability the Bulldogs will win the national championship.

Who will win the NCAA football championship in 2025? ›

College Football National Championship Odds 2025: Georgia Favored, Buckeyes Gaining Steam.

What are the changes in college football playoffs for 2024? ›

For the 2024 and 2025 seasons, the 12 playoff participants consist of the five highest ranked conference champions, plus the next seven highest ranked teams. The four highest ranked conference champions will be seeded one through four and receive a first-round bye.

What is the new college playoff format? ›

The new deal

For 2024 and 2025, the format is set as a 5+7, 12-team model, which grants automatic qualifying spots to the five highest-ranked champions and seven at-large spots to the next highest-ranked teams. The new revenue distribution model shook the college athletics landscape for its disparities.

What does power 5 mean in football? ›

The Power Five conferences are the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), Big Ten Conference, Big 12 Conference, Pac-12 Conference, and Southeastern Conference (SEC).

What are the chances of getting into Notre Dame? ›

The acceptance rate at Notre Dame is 12.9%.

This means the school is extremely selective. Meeting their GPA requirements and SAT/ACT requirements is very important to getting past their first round of filters and proving your academic preparation.

Is Notre Dame ranked in NCAA football? ›

The Fighting Irish finished No. 14 in the final 2023 CFP rankings - 10 spots outside of the coveted College Football Playoff. However, the 2024-25 season marks the first 12-team format in the CFP era.

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